Backtesting Reports
ARC Results Dev v2026.07.08.1

Untrading Appreciative and Return Compounder (ARC).

Solvency-first reserve architecture for digital assets. ARC turns realized appreciation into durable balance-sheet consequence without relying on leverage, soft promises, or hidden insolvency. It separates protection needs from appreciation-side productivity, routes realized value through a strict waterfall, and only pays the upside when the system has actually earned it.

Start with PayBack per year, then total PayBack, then Throughput Ratio and Net VMR. Solvency diagnostics still matter, but they stay secondary on the public surface.

Tracked Assets
6
latest run per asset
Median PayBack / Year
9.59%
annualized vs average protected capital
Highest PayBack
$2.95B
best cumulative distribution total
Lowest PayBack
$5.7M
lowest cumulative distribution total
Avg Buffer
$2.16B
terminal CB + RB + EB average
Filter by asset or class, then re-sort the full-width summaries without rebuilding the site.

Asset summaries

Each asset keeps a minimal full-width layout: four headline metrics first, then the full-width PayBack Executed chart.

BTC

Class A Class A · pure A SC Resilient Run 2026.07.09.1045

Cash-realized outcomes stay strong and OFL gates remain broadly open.

PayBack / Year
$534.5M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$2.95B
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
11.16x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
1.76x
cash-realized quality

ETH

Class A Class A · temp Class F SC Qualified Run 2026.07.09.0906

The run clears the cash-realized bar, but solvency headroom still deserves review.

PayBack / Year
$518.9M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$2.86B
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
7.43x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
1.19x
cash-realized quality

NVDA

Class A Class A · pure A SC Resilient Run 2026.07.08.2252

Cash-realized outcomes stay strong and OFL gates remain broadly open.

PayBack / Year
$357.6M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$1.97B
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
9.37x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
2.85x
cash-realized quality

LINK

Class F Class F · zone SC budget Qualified Run 2026.07.09.0908

The run clears the cash-realized bar, but solvency headroom still deserves review.

PayBack / Year
$189.4M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$1.04B
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
6.39x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
1.45x
cash-realized quality

AAVE

Class F Class F · zone SC budget Qualified Run 2026.07.08.2342

The run clears the cash-realized bar, but solvency headroom still deserves review.

PayBack / Year
$56.5M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$254.8M
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
6.88x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
1.12x
cash-realized quality

PENDLE

Class F Class F · zone SC budget Fragile Run 2026.07.08.2352

This path needs tighter scrutiny before it can be presented as production-grade.

PayBack / Year
$3.1M
annualized public headline
Total PayBack
$5.7M
cumulative distributions executed
Throughput Ratio
1.98x
net throughput / average protected capital
Net VMR
0.57x
cash-realized quality

Showing latest available run per asset (BTC, ETH, NVDA, LINK, AAVE, PENDLE).

Cross-asset matrix

This table keeps the public ordering explicit: PayBack per year first, total PayBack second, then Value Multiplication Ratio and Throughput Ratio.

Asset PayBack / yr Total PayBack Value Multiplication Ratio Gate open Hack Impact
BTC
Class A
$534.5M $2.95B 1.95x 96.4% $250.0M
ETH
Class A
$518.9M $2.86B 1.37x 100.0% $250.0M
NVDA
Class A
$357.6M $1.97B 2.94x 100.0% $250.0M
LINK
Class F
$189.4M $1.04B 1.62x 100.0% $250.0M
AAVE
Class F
$56.5M $254.8M 1.36x 81.4% $6.0M
PENDLE
Class F
$3.1M $5.7M 0.83x 100.0% $7.8M